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The numbers I’ve heard for LEO are like 4-5 years. But that point is whatever.
Kessler’ing the LEO means it’s now harder to retaliate in HEO. It would be an easy win for Russia to knock out Starlink if the US government is actually relying on it in any meaningful capacity.
Agriculture is the problem here. Not chip fabs or datacenters. There’s middle eastern owned farms here that grow alfalfa (notoriously water heavy) that export out of state/ country.