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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 26th, 2023

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  • Russia’s oil revenue both from the EU and in total has been massively reduced.

    Not really. Although Russia revenue from the EU has been reduced significantly, they manage to open up a new market in the East that massively stabilise their gas overall revenues. Russia is nowadays redirecting its resources east and building news pipelines to meet the demand from the East e.g. China. They no longer care much about the EU market.

    That was never the intention and totally unexpected outcome of the sanction. They never thought China, India and even Turkey will come to the rescue. To say EU are not affected is an understatement. The EU now has to depend on the higher price gas from the US, Germany had to abandon their green initiatives and go back to coal, and they even have to buy Russian gas at higher inflated price from middleman to circumvent their own sanction - do you really think they dont know they are actually buying Russian gas? Of course they know. But they have to because they will suffer more if they don’t.






  • If Hamas is advocating for that, why haven’t they held a single election since 2006

    You have to ask Palestinian Authority (PA) for that, not Hamas. Hamas has won both Gaza and the West Bank, but PA refuse to relinquish it’s power and forcefully remain to govern the West Bank.

    It was Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas) that delayed and then cancel the election since that. Most probably because of his internal political struggle within Fatah itself, and he’s afraid that Hamas will win again and prove the irrelevance of Fatah amongst the Palestinians.

    Anyway, the Israel is happy that Abu Mazen stay because they need a weak leader as puppet that govern the brittle West Bank. As long as the weak Fatah remains, Hamas will also remain to be (designated as) a terrorist org, so they won’t be able to bring about the cause of Palestinian people to the negotiation table.



  • Israel’s government used the argument that Hamas exist -and so the National Authority isn’t talking for all Palestinians

    Have you got a source to back them up?

    As far as I know, last negotiation (2014) collapse because of the announcement of reconciliation between the ‘good’ guy and the ‘bad’ guy.

    Source (1)

    Israel has hit back hard following an agreement on Palestinian unity by suspending already faltering peace negotiations just days before the expiry of a deadline for the US-brokered process.

    The Israeli prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, accused the western-backed Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, of forming an alliance with Hamas, which he called “a terrorist organisation that calls for the destruction of Israel” – and hinted at further retaliatory measures.

    Source (2)

    On April 23, Fatah and Hamas announced a new reconciliation agreement to form a technocratic government of independents and to begin a process to hold elections in the West Bank and Gaza. Israel responded by officially calling off the negotiations.

    BTW, what I mean when I say ‘negotiation’ is not in the literal sense. Loosely, I mean 'to engage diplomatically’.



  • Thats the point. Israel needs to have Hamas exist, so that they can have Hamas as the bad guy - the non-trusted entity that can never be welcomed into negotiation. As a result of that, they will only negotiate with the good guy - The Palestinian Authority - the only so-called legitimate representative of Palestinian people. They problem is, the good guy is not doing anything favorable for the people that they represent, and instead they become a tool to the the Israel gov itself, so that at the end of the day instead of achieving their goal of ‘building a state on 1967 borders’, they are actually loosing more land to the illegal settlers. Israel is of course happy with the outcome.

    EDIT: I’ll add below some more ‘perceived’ insight to this as I got more free time now

    The Palestinian Authority - the only so-called legitimate representative of Palestinian people.

    Why do I label the as the 'so-called representative? Because they are not legitimate Palestinian representative. Fatah lose 2006 election. They should relieve their power and transfer them to Hamas that won the Election. But they didn’t. Technically they illegitimately grabbed the power given by the people to Hamas.

    And how long has Palestinian Authority (Fatah) governs? Since 2006, that’s about 17 years. 17 years without election. If that happens in other countries, we will call them dictator. But the West won’t say anything because that will disrupt the status quo. The funny thing is, Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas) postponed the election in 2021 by giving a ridiculous reason: Israel has failed to confirm it will allow voting in East Jerusalem (source). The truth was, Mahmoud Abbas was afraid Fatah would lose (again) or even he would lose to others in his own party [source: Mahmoud Abbas on Thursday called off next month’s parliamentary elections after challengers from his own party threatened to weaken his hold on power.].

    What I put forward here is to discuss what I think relevant to the article, the internal power struggle, at domestic level, that in some way led to what happened on the 7th.

    I don’t mind being proven wrong but I appreciate more replied that discussed on the internal issues instead of staying to the external issues (the world is to blame, ask them to stop bombing then etc). And please read the article before giving your views as the article is interesting because it was written not by a typical journalist, instead by a senior fellow at Washington Institute for Near East Policy who used to hold various position in the Palestinian Authority.



  • Yeah. But when your own leader fails you, where can you go for help?

    EDIT: My answer: They go to Hamas, because they can no longer trust the Palestinian Authority.

    I am answering this based on the internal politics that leads to what happens now, and why the PA very slow in mitigating the crisis. The way how the world react, although relevant, is not the issue as per discussed by the news article.